A recent court order has directed the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to reconsider its denial of Grayscale’s Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) application, offering a ray of hope to crypto investors. However, the implications of both an approval or rejection of a Bitcoin ETF by the SEC are significant. This article delves into the potential outcomes and their ramifications on the cryptocurrency market.
The Potential Impact of SEC Approval: Anticipation runs high among investors and industry experts regarding a potential surge in Bitcoin and cryptocurrency values upon SEC approval of a Bitcoin ETF. Nicholas Scherling, CEO of DeCryptoFi, predicts a rapid price escalation. Nevertheless, it’s essential to remember that SEC approval is not assured, leaving the market response uncertain.
The Potential Consequences of SEC Rejection: On the flip side, a rejection by the SEC could trigger a substantial drop in Bitcoin prices. Nate Geraci, President of ETF Retailer and co-founder of ETF Institute, warns of a potential “crypto history rug pull,” underscoring the crypto market’s vulnerability and potential volatility.
Challenges Faced by Institutional Financiers: The SEC’s rigorous requirements for a Bitcoin ETF pose difficulties for institutional financiers. Instead of “in-form” structured ETFs, the SEC insists on “cash impact” ETFs, which may result in increased tax liabilities for issuers and potential cost hikes for clients. This ongoing tug-of-war between funds and regulators could further delay Bitcoin ETF approval beyond January.
Threats to Crypto Exchanges: The introduction of a Bitcoin ETF could have far-reaching implications for crypto exchanges. Eric Balchunas, Senior Bloomberg ETF Analyst, humorously suggests that a Bitcoin ETF would “unleash the Power of One (basis point)” in trading fees. Nate Geraci counters, stating that this could potentially lead to a “bloodbath for crypto exchanges,” highlighting the potential disruption to the existing market structure.